Baccarat Runs Overview

play Baccarat onlineEven if you do not engage in Baccarat games on a regular basis, you should be familiar with the basic rules and one of them claims that the Player and the Bank have equal chances of winning regardless of the number of previous wins or losses both sides have experienced. Well, that information is not too helpful if you are looking for an effective strategy for generating solid profits from Baccarat sessions, so you should definitely arm yourself with additional details aimed at establishing an effective strategy.

Baccarat hands are often compared to the flipping of a coin time and time again. However, you have to keep in mind that the flipping is in the limits of one shoe at a time. The cards are shuffled and basically, you cannot have an impact on how they are played out unless a card is accidentally exposed and excluded from the play.

You are also supposed to bet within the limits and your main objective should be to keep a close eye on any sequence that might be useful for establishing your betting strategy.

Let’s presume that you use the alternate method of keeping a scorecard and you record Bank and Player wins and losses in separate columns. You should use approximately 32 columns on the card in order to record the sequence.

The first row contains a total of 32 alternating B’s and P’s.

As far as the second row is concerned, you should expect to find about 16 B’s and P’s. As you already know, P will follow B in 50% of all cases. Every time P does not follow B, you are supposed to start a new column. You have to repeat the above steps for each of the remaining rows.

In the second row, you should expect 16 single Player or Bank wins, which therefore means their number in the third column decreases to eight. In other words, you have to expect that there will be two wins in a row out of eight runs.

You also should expect to see the following in every shoe: four runs of three wins, two runs of four wins and one run of five wins, respectively.

As you keep going down the rows, you will see that predicting 0.5 for the sixth row means there will be a six win run once in two shoes, a one-off seven win run in four shoes, an eight win run in eight shoes, etc.

Now, you have to go back to Row Two where you should find as many as 16 B’s and P’s distributed across the row. You will get a better idea of the strategy you have to follow if you turn the right side of the card up and regard the row as a column.

You should expect half singles and eight not singles – two pairs, one triple and half-a-quadruple.

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The same applies to the third row where you should find four P’s and four B’s.

Based on these calculations, one can draw the following conclusions. Let’s go back to the 232 shoes and call a single entry in Row Two a singleton. Two entries in a row are called a double.

Your objective is to see how long the the runs will be down Row Two.

As you already know, in 50% of the time Row Two will end a BB or PP run. The other 50% of the time will mark the start of a run featuring three P’s or B’s or more.

As for the 232 shoes there were 4,159 runs, which means one should expect half of them to be of length two only and the other half to be of length of three or more.
Let’s presume there were as many as 2,140 runs of length two, which is 60 more than the expected.

As for the distribution of the Row Two entries, the number of consecutive sets of Row Twos was 2,169. The singletons were 1,124, although the expectations were for 1,085. The doubletons were 537, while the anticipated number was 542. The triples were 271. The expectations were that there would be 136 four consecutive Row Twos, but actually they were 125.

There is no difference between Row Two and the results that should be expected across the other columns.

According to expectations, there should have been 50% singletons, 25% doubletons, 12.5% triples. In reality, there were 4.8 singletons, 2.3 doubletons, 1.2 triples per every shoe.

This therefore means there were 9.3 sets per shoe and the highest number of singletons in a shoe was 12. The greatest number of doubletons was six, while the maximum number of triples was 5.

The average number of runs per shoe was 17.9 and none of the 232 shoes had less than 9 runs. One of the shoes had 41, but the remaining did not exceed 24.

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